LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 14: Students from numerous area high schools come together in Mariachi Plaza before continuing their march to City Hall to protest the upset election of Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton in the race for President of the United States on November 14, 2016 in Los Angeles, California, United States. The mostly Latino youth walked out of class to protest because they are afraid that their families could be split up through mass deportations of millions of immigrants, as promised by Trump during his campaign.   (Photo by David McNew/Getty Images)

Estados Unidos Education Vs. Income: A Statistical Analysis On Trump's US Presidential Election Victory

Estados Unidos/Noviembre de 2016/Autor: Joshua Williams/Fuente; Oarent Herald

RESUMEN: A pesar de que las elecciones han terminado en los Estados Unidos, sigue siendo una cuestión de discusión caliente, ya que los resultados no fueron sólo inesperados, sino que fueron bastante impactantes. Los críticos, los analistas y los expertos todavía están buscando las razones posibles de tal enojo enorme. Según FiveThirtyEight, un análisis estadístico sobre la elección que implica la diferencia de los votos de los candidatos con sus predecesores puede dar la imagen real de lo que realmente sucedió. El análisis dice que Hillary Clinton tuvo una oportunidad de victoria en 48 condados más bien educados, que eran nueve por ciento más que Obama. Estos condados, que son altamente educados y tienen diversidad étnica, incluyen San Fransisco, Johnson ciudad, Kansas y Michigan. Otros condados con menor población y niveles de educación, y donde los blancos son la mayoría votaron por Trump, 30 puntos más que Mitt Romney. Los condados con gente rica pero con niveles de educación más bajos también votaron por Donald Trump y estos lugares ayudaron a ganar la presidencia para el nominado republicano. Parece que estadísticamente, a pesar del comentario de odio de Trump con respecto a varios grupos norteamericanos, la población, especialmente la clase media y la clase media baja, están harta del statu quo del que Clinton era representante. Las estadísticas sugieren que la educación ganó votos a Clinton pero el ingreso apoyó a Trump. Sin embargo, las noticias recientes tienen más que aportar en el análisis. NYMag afirma en un nuevo informe que los condados en los que las tasas de mortalidad causadas por drogas, matanzas, suicidios y abuso de alcohol votaron más por Trump. El número de muertes por sobredosis de drogas y abuso de alcohol en América ha aumentado 137 por ciento en las últimas dos décadas.

Even though the elections are over in the US, it is still a matter of hot discussion as the results were not just unexpected, they were rather shocking. Critics, analysts and experts are still looking for the possible reasons for such a huge upset.

According to FiveThirtyEight, a statistical analysis on the election involving the difference of the candidates’ vote count with their predecessors can give the actual picture of what actually happened. The analysis tells that Hillary Clinton had a chance of victory in 48 most well-educated counties, which were nine percent more than Obama.

These counties, which are highly educated and have diverse ethnicity, include San Fransisco, Johnson city, Kansas and Michigan. Other counties with lesser population and education levels, and where white people are the majority voted for Trump, 30 points more than Mitt Romney.

Counties with rich people but lower education levels also voted for Donald Trump and these places helped won the presidency for the Republican nominee. It seems that statistically, despite Trump's hate-commentary regarding a number of American groups, the population, especially the diminishing middle-class and lower-middle classes, are fed up of the status-quo that Clinton was a representative of.

Stats suggest that education won votes to Clinton but income supported Trump. However, recent news has more to contribute in the analysis. NYMag claims in a new report that the counties in which death rates caused by drugs, killing, suicides and alcohol abuse voted more for Trump. The number of deaths from drug overdose and alcohol abuse in America has increased 137 percent in the last two decades.

Sociologist Arlie Hochschild of the University of California, Berkeley stated that people in these areas are behind in terms of technology, innovation and new forms of businesses and their economy is far behind than that of the developed areas. Some Trump detractors even said that the newly elected U.S. president might have used the negligence of the people in such communities for political benefit and raised hope in them.

Fuente: http://www.parentherald.com/articles/89458/20161126/u-s-elections-statistical-analysis-trumps-victory.htm

 

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